- August 18, 2017
By Erik Davidson, Cortet by CEL
This article will focus on the IoT-enabled Smart Lighting Control opportunity, which CEL research shows is one of largest opportunities in the rapidly growing commercial-grade IoT control space.
By Erik Davidson (Director, Marketing & Products - Cortet by CEL)
This article regarding Smart Building Control product strategy provides industrial, commercial and office lighting equipment OEMs, manufacturers, integrators and installers with valuable insights from across the Internet of Things (IoT) landscape in order to help create the best, most profitable marketing strategies possible, and then keep them up to date with the latest trends to ensure that they never miss these new emerging smart lighting opportunities.
This article will focus on the IoT-enabled Smart Lighting Control opportunity, which our research shows is one of largest opportunities in the rapidly growing commercial-grade IoT control space.
Our parent company, CEL, has been doing wireless control and component-based technology innovation for more than 50 years. Over those many decades, we’ve established tens-of-thousands of relationships across numerous industries.
In combination with our own market research, we rely heavily on these relationships to gain insights into what’s going on in the market and to identify the next big opportunity wave for our OEM partners.
What we’re clearly seeing and hearing right now is that there is a uniquely strong opportunity for lighting luminaire and lamp OEMs to enter the Smart Building Control market with their own IoT-based lighting control solutions.
If you are a luminaire/lamp OEM that has been hesitating to take the plunge into Smart Lighting Control (or perhaps if you’ve already made a run at it in the past but it didn’t go so well) here’s several reasons why we think it’s the right time for you to dive (back) in.
The latest data shows that the Smart Lighting Control market is poised to grow by over 35% to $3.7 billion in revenue by 2020.
With those kinds of figures, there will be a growing number of new startups being formed specifically to take a run at the opportunity. We are already starting to see this today. It seems that almost every week I learn about a new smart building or smart lighting control company.
However, lighting luminaire or lamp OEMs have two unique competitive advantages over these “newcomers” - unmatched knowledge of the “things” that are being controlled and deep, long-standing industry relationships.
You understand better than anyone what it really takes to design, manufacture, install, troubleshoot, upkeep, and upgrade the lights themselves.
And, perhaps most importantly, you’ve gained this understanding from a real, widespread, hard-won customer base.
This gives you a tremendous advantage in defining the right strategy. It gives you something that is the most difficult thing to attain: an in-depth understanding of the customer and what it takes to deliver a superior experience to them.
This in turn leads to your second major advantage over newcomers: You’ve already built and optimized a successful and far-reaching sales and distribution network for targeted market segments.
You have an enormous head start. For one thing, lighting agents are regional and have regional exclusivities, and it takes years to establish national and international reach. Dealing directly with electrical distributors and electrical contractors can be just as complex and just as fragmented. If you are a successful lighting OEM, you have likely already built these challenging but highly valuable channels.
Startups and new entrants don't have the robust channels you have, other lighting players may not have these either, but you, as an established OEM, do.
At this point you may be thinking, “yes, we know, but is now really the right time?” And, maybe you have already made a play in lighting controls or even in IoT-enabled lighting controls, but it wasn’t very successful.
There are three primary reasons why we so strongly believe that NOW is the right time to make a play in IoT lighting control.
1) Features and capabilities of lighting control systems have become much more sophisticated, and the technology behind them has become far more accessible. As is often typical in new, disruptive industries, early IoT technologies were, in many cases, overly complex, difficult to integrate, not supported well and in limited supply. The good news is that all of these circumstances have improved significantly over the past several years as the industry and the technology space have matured.
IoT technologies have become steadily more accessible, reliable, and simple to integrate and use — even as the sophistication and functionality has continued to rapidly increase.
One way that things have improved in the IoT technology space is the increased engineering rigor that is now being applied to certain IoT systems. At the dawn of the IoT, many companies were fast and loose with their development and test methods. While this is certainly still the case for some, many professional companies with strong engineering processes have emerged and have started to dominate certain sectors of the IoT.
2) The many new entrants and new approaches in the lighting control space have vastly increased the number of partners available. The ecosystem is there. Just a few years ago, the IoT control ecosystem was relatively fragmented with just a small number of serious companies, few partnering opportunities and even fewer mature technology choices.
That has changed. There are now hundreds or maybe even thousands of IoT hardware, software and services companies across an increasingly crowded landscape. Among them, there are a growing number of serious players that can be trusted.
This is now giving OEMs with successful non-IoT products an easier and more profitable way to enter new markets with IoT-enabled products while introducing much less risk. You can now focus on what you know and do best – luminaires and lamps – while providing the opportunity to easily expand sales, increase margins and create new revenue streams by adding IoT control.
3) If you made an unsuccessful attempt to enter the market in the past, most of the roadblocks and pitfalls you may have faced are going away.
This is the result of the expanding partner ecosystem mentioned above. With a growing number of experienced, capable partners to choose from, the days of “going it alone” are over.
Today there are an increasing number of companies that offer OEMs support and guidance in the critical areas that history has shown to be the most difficult for IoT newcomers — and notorious for torpedoing even the best go-to-market strategies.
Examples of some of these functions include after-sale support, technology integration, ongoing system upgrades and maintenance, adjusting to rapidly evolving standards, development of long-term strategic product roadmaps, and more.
The real question is “How can a strategically designed SLC portfolio expand overall sales, increase profit margins, and begin building recurring, subscription-based revenue?”
If you produce and sell luminaires and/or lamps, you have an immediate opportunity to add a Smart Lighting Control (SLC) system to your portfolio to increase your top line sales. This increase will be primarily generated by two factors:
- You will now gain revenue from selling an SLC system; and
- You will also pull along more luminaire & lamp sales and perhaps even increase your share of a given contract by owning the selected SLC system.
But, is the opportunity big enough? Should you care? How fast is the SLC opportunity growing relative to luminaire sales otherwise?
Diving into the Numbers
The latest data from numerous sources show that the SLC market is poised to grow by an impressive 25-30% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate). According to one analyst report linked here, the market for just lighting control products alone is expected to reach $3.7 billion in revenue by 2020. Within five years, by 2022, another analyst report linked here projects that the TAM for SLC systems will exceed a whopping $19 billion. By comparison, data from Strategies Unlimited linked here suggest that the LED luminaire market has been rapidly growing at an 11% CAGR and will reach a TAM of approximately $40 billion by 2020 and $45 billion by 2022.
What’s interesting, exciting, and very important about this data is that it suggests that the TAM for SLC systems will rapidly become a very high percentage of the overall LED lighting industry TAM: $19 billion for SLC systems within a $45 billion LED luminaire market.
Most notably, this is because CAGR for SLC system sales will likely be more than double the already-impressive growth rate of LED luminaire sales over at least the next several years.
With all this data in mind, it is not hard to see that if you are manufacturing luminaires, hitching your wagon to a solid SLC system sets you up for an increased growth rate in a cutting-edge market segment on the rise.
If you’re hoping to beat the market as a manufacturer of LED luminaires, you might be currently targeting an ambitious 15-20% CAGR. But, with an SLC play, you could be targeting something more aggressive: 30-35% perhaps.
How to Expand Wallet Share
There is also another important financial opportunity you should be paying attention to, and that’s your ability to expand “wallet share” with your end-customers.
If you’re unfamiliar with the phrase, share of wallet refers to the percentage your company receives of the end-customer’s total project budget. So, for example, let’s say an office renovator has a lighting retrofit budget for a small office space of $200,000 and it includes plans for adding SLC.
Originally, perhaps you’d be getting approximately 25%percent of that total budget, or $50,000, primarily for providing a share of the luminaires.
By adding an SLC solution pre-integrated with your luminaries, you have the opportunity to grab a greater share of the total contract budget from your competitors, both from selling more luminaries and from selling the SLC system.
Our latest research shows that, on average, you can increase your total share of wallet by 30-40% using an SLC solution over what you’d achieve otherwise.
That would mean instead of making a total of $50,000 on the example contract above, you would have the opportunity to make $70,000 (35% of the contract). Over 100 similar small projects, you have increased sales by $2 million. Not bad.
There’s more good news here. In addition to larger TAM, CAGR and wallet share potential, adding an SLC solution provides an opportunity to significantly increase profit margins.
First, when building your strategy for entering the SLC market, we recommend you start by IoT-enabling the lamps and luminaires in your portfolio that are already the most successful and are already providing the highest contributing margins.
Why? Because by offering these products integrated with your SLC platform first, it increases the chances of success for the total offering, since the original devices are already well received, in high demand and generating profitable revenue.
Our research shows that when you combine these winning devices with a white-labeled SLC platform the total profit margin can increase by as much as 50% over lamps and luminaires alone.
This is especially true since luminaire & lamp manufacturers are seeing their profit margins get crammed down at a staggering rate due to rapidly increasing competition.
Let’s revisit the example from above. Perhaps, you are selling in a mix of luminaires, both low-margin and high-margin SKUs, for a combined direct profit margin of 20%.
But now you can offer luminaires integrated with an SLC solution.
Because you choose to have your SLC solution integrate with your higher margin luminaire products first, you can sell in a greater percentage of your higher-margin devices and the higher margin SLC solution components (e.g. white-labeled intelligent control gateways, wireless control devices, software, etc.).
By selling this integrated solution, you can increase your overall profit margin to 30%. And, since you were now able to take the increased 30-40% wallet share, in our small office space contract example, your total profit from the contract goes from $10,000 to $21,000. Over 100 similar projects, you have now increased your contributing profit margin by $1.1 million.
As you’ll recall, those 100 projects resulted in a $2 million revenue boost. So now you’ve seen that $1.1 million was pure profit. Now we’re talking.
There’s one more important opportunity that SLC brings, and that’s the ability to build and grow subscription-based, recurring revenue streams over time.
This aspect of the SLC opportunity is just beginning to emerge, but stands to be one of the greatest financial benefits of IoT-enabled lighting in the future.
You Want to be Ready When the Growth Wave Comes
Based on our= conversations with luminaire & lamp OEMs, you are likely generating most of your revenue from individual sales contracts. You bid, win, fulfill the contract, are paid once, and then move to the next customer. In this scenario, you typically do not have the opportunity gain additional revenue from that installation. It’s “one and done.”
By adding an SLC solution to your installations, you add two things that fundamentally change the financial equation: data capture and a direct connection to the end customer.
Since devices (e.g. luminaires, lamps, sensors, networking devices, etc.) in an SLC configuration are networked, your SLC solution has the inherent ability to capture information from these devices. That data can be saved, analyzed and used to create a limitless number of value-added, subscription based internet services.
Furthermore, new services can be delivered using these networked devices such as location-based services (LBS), artificial intelligence (AI) driven energy & space optimization services, etc. Although these types of services are only now starting to emerge, imagine the possibilities in the future.
Perhaps by partnering with a software-as-a-service (SaaS) and data analytics firm, you begin offering a subscription based service for optimizing energy efficiency and cost-savings. The sensors from your installed SLC solution provide real-time usage data of and when people are in or out of the building, combined with data on existing sunlight levels. The solution then consistently and automatically adjusts luminaire brightness levels in the building to achieve the lowest energy usage without sacrificing productivity.
Most of the management of the system is done remotely over the web and through mobile devices, enabling you to offer the service nationally or even internationally. In this example, perhaps an end-customer pays you a monthly subscription of $10, for a total of $120 annually. In return, they save $160 in energy costs each year, so the solution pays for itself. If you were to win 1,000 such contracts, you’d have added $120,000 in highly profitable software revenue that recurs annually.
You add recurring revenue, they reduce costs, everybody wins.
This is just one example of the infinite types of subscription-based revenue opportunities that SLC can usher in.
Now is the time to expand your business beyond lamps, luminaires and accessories. Industrial, office and manufacturing plants and facilities are rapidly moving to an IoT model. Smart Lighting Control technology is here and for your business to be competitive and successful, you need to be able to take advantage of this new wave of market opportunity.
About the Author
Erik Davidson is Director of Marketing at California Eastern Laboratories (CEL) driving go-to-market and product strategies for end-to-end Internet of Things control products, systems, and solutions.Learn More
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