China's RFID market will reach $4.3 billion by 2025 | Automation.com

China's RFID market will reach $4.3 billion by 2025

China's RFID market will reach $4.3 billion by 2025

May 21, 2015 - IDTechEx says not only will the use of RFID in China become a $4.3 billion market in 2025, but that figure will almost double if we include the value of tags and readers made in the country and exported elsewhere. Already in 2015 China had 85% of the global manufacture capacity of RFID tags, with over 150 RFID companies operating in the country.

Highly profitable government-led projects moving to market led projects

The development of RFID is heavily supported by the Chinese government. Indeed, the Chinese RFID market can be divided into two separate types: government-led and market-oriented. The supplying companies are correspondingly separated into two types as well. AISINO, Shanghai China Card, CEC Huada Electronic Design are companies focusing on government projects and are strongly influenced by the government support. While companies such as Invengo, Arizon RFID, Hangzhou Century have less government influence and are more market-oriented.

IDTechEx found that most government-led companies are also state-owned companies. They mainly focus on the Chinese market, they have a large amount of capital, are given more opportunities and are enjoying high profit margins because the government projects are less cost-sensitive. Those companies also play an important role in projects such as national ID cards, passports and subway ticket applications. The entry barrier is high for those applications, as the suppliers need to have good government connections and relatively mature technologies. On the other hand, the market-oriented companies are facing a more competitive environment, especially in the tag-assembly sector. In 2014 the market segments for RFID in China are as follows:

2014 market segments for RFID in China.

Changing global tag manufacture landscape

As RFID is increasingly being deployed around the world (IDTechEx expect that over 8.5 billion tags will be sold globally in 2015 versus 7 billion in 2014), suppliers are in the process of shaving off fractions of a cent from each inlay, particularly for passive UHF. That means picking up and moving manufacturing base to China in some cases. There have also been other, relatively new entrants that by strong investment (including acquisition) have gained a relatively high market share from nothing in a few years, examples being Arizon RFID and Shangyang, to name a few.

More Chinese inlay makers are emerging and equipment providers report that sales to China are strong. In our research, IDTechEx found that China had a manufacturing capability of 6 billion RFID tags annually in 2014, more than 85% of the total global RFID tag production capability that year.

HF mature and rapid growth of UHF

HF RFID was developed early in China due to the government's national ID scheme and the technology and markets are mature. A complete value chain has been formed. A large number of applications such as transit card, national ID card and electronic passport use HF technology. In 2015, IDTechEx expect that the HF market value takes more than 80% among all RFID frequency bands in China.
UHF technology, widely used internationally, however, falls behind in China, especially in the chip design/manufacturing. Therefore, UHF chip design/manufacturing development has been listed as one of the priorities in China's IoT development. The table below shows the projects supported by Chinese government and corresponding companies working on UHF chips.

These are among a few of the Chinese RFID companies that IDTechEx has reported on in RFID in China 2015-2025. More than 150 companies are categorized by value chain positions and specialized frequencies and of those over 110 are closely assessed. The report gives a detailed analysis on the RFID value chain in China across all the main frequency types and ten year forecasts for the use of RFID in China by 13 application categories. It also covers the RFID development in key areas including:

• Bohai Bay Economic Rim
• Yangtze River Delta Region
• Pearl River Delta Region
• Central and West China
• Hong Kong

About IDTechEx
IDTechEx guides strategic business decisions through its Research and Events services, helping you profit from emerging technologies. We provide independent research, business intelligence and advice to companies across the value chain based on our core research activities and methodologies providing data sought by business leaders, strategists and emerging technology scouts to aid their business decisions.

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